Just in case you missed it the other day as the election dust was beginning to settle all over the land and republicans were quickly coming to terms with how they let the big one get away yet again. Fully aware of their up hill climb in the Latino community which was made evident when over 70% of Latinos voted to re-elect President Barack Obama.
Now that President Obama is back in swing at The White House and Mitt Romney’s campaign plane has been stripped down and returned to its owner, republicans have some work to do if they want to win the war for nostalgia in the coming years. In the 60′s, 70′s and early 80′s there was always a Kennedy in elected office somewhere in the world. before them there were several Rockefeller’s leaving their fingerprints on the political system.
The last several decades we’ve had two families to dominate our politics, the Clinton and the Bush families have taken the look of empirical dynasties. While Secretary of State Hillary Clinton mulls over her future the media has thrown down the gauntlet for the republicans to apply pressure on yet another Bush family member; Jeb Bush. This is currently only media driven considering both Clinton and Bush have said publicly that they are not interested, but hopefully you don’t believe that. These two are political machines and campaigns are they’re oil.
The real story however is not either Hillary or Jeb. The instant media often misses the long ball. A new star rising in the Bush Clan is (drumroll), George Bush! Actually George P. Bush, the eldest son of former Florida Governor Jeb Bush and his wife Columba, a naturalized citizen of the United States, originally from Mexico. That’s all important because the recent beat-down experienced by republicans indicate a huge disconnect with the Minority Coalition of Latinos, Women and African Americans that Obama built to win re-election.
George Prescott Bush is the Kennedy’s version of a modern day Camelot wrapped in a Bush cloak. He is Hispanic, fluent in Spanish, charismatic, followed his Uncle, Former President George W. Bush and his grandfather, Former President George H.W. Bush to Yale University, a real estate developer like his father, Governor Jeb Bush, a U.S. Navy Officer like his grandfather, he is an attorney and another drumroll please)…while republicans were licking their wounds last week, Mr. Bush filed his papers in the state of Texas to become a candidate in a State wide elected office.
No one knows quite yet which position he will seek, but with Texas becoming more and more diverse and expected to become a battleground state in the next decade, the Bush Family is putting their family legacy in the hands of yet another George Bush. Will he be the ideal candidate the republicans are looking in the coming years? You betcha!
Name recognition alone in the state, with two presidential museums with your name blazoned across the top, powerful fundraisers who would jump at the chance to associate themselves with the family and the cadre of troops waiting in the wings to tout their message of inclusion with a Bush with a brown face. But ignoring The Obama Edict, the redesigned electoral strategy, will not change the outcome of republican races by simply putting a new face on the old message.
So while democrats are banking on winning the with their huge advantage in the Latino community for the foreseeable future, plans are underway to fight that narrative within the Bush realm. Last week, Texas just elected their first Hispanic U.S. Senator, Ted Cruz and he himself admitted that if Texas becomes a toss-up on the electoral map, republicans don’t stand a chance at winning The White House if they lose the state’s 38 electoral votes, ever!
Keep your eye on George Prescott, the latest Bush who is hoping to carry his families’ legacy in the Texas. Although his parents still resides in Florida, Texas is way more welcoming to the family brand politically. While you will hear more and more speculation about Hillary and Jeb Bush, the real story can be found with his son George.
One important note: The Bush Family has two rules. First, before going into the family business, politics, you must go out and earn your your money first; take care of your family. George Prescott has done that. Secondly, avoid running for state office when another family member is also running for a national office. George W. ran for Governor of Texas, but only after his father lost his reelection bid for The White House in 1992. Jeb Bush resisted running for the Senate in the year his brother was battling the countries’ economic disaster.
Daddy Bush advised his son Jeb not to seek the presidency after his other son George W. left The White House in 2007 due to the nation’s Bush Fatigue. He went on to say, “if his last name wasn’t Bush…” He would have no chance of losing. That has been George P’s reason for not jumping in sooner as well.
With the 2014 midterm State elections approaching, George P. would have to move now if his father Jeb is planning to go up against Hillary in 2016. You heard it hear first. That’s my story and um sticking to it.
With the state’s senior Senator, Harry Reid also serving as the Senate Majority Leader and a democrat in The White house, you would think that Nevada, rich with unionized labor would be safely out of the grasp of the GOP and the Romney-Ryan ticket…not so.
Although President Obama has sat at the top of just about every poll conducted this year, there are vulnerabilities that plague his chances to comfortably put the state in his win column like harnessing the nation’s highest unemployment rate, there are no guarantees.
The President is doing well among his second largest voting block, Hispanics, the largest block of his base in Nevada due to their overwhelming growth. One hidden advantage to Obama, a rarely spoken of Libertarian Party which has managed to make it on the ballot in 47 states including Nevada. Former New Mexico Governor, Gary Johnson has surged in the state as of late keeping the state in the toss-up category and unlikely to go for Romney, an unexpected jewel the GOP would love to get away from the Dems.
What makes this a huge get, not to mention a competitive race is the states large Mormon population. Mitt Romney, if elected, would be the first Mormon to ascend to the presidency and if Nevada’s Mormon faithful could help the republican make history, they would be beyond honored.
Romney’s only challenge will be Clark County (Las Vegas) and Washoe County (Reno). Both were easy gets for Obama in the last cycle- two-thirds of the state’s votes came from these two counties. With Senator Reid’s enormous mobilization efforts, Romney’s got some work to do, but since the battleground is set, Dems cannot be careless. That’s my story and um sticking to it.
What is an “Undecided Voter”? And just what is that they are looking for to otherwise aide them in making a selection in their choice of a candidate. Often times you hear a U.V. say something like, “I want to hear the Candidate say…” this or that. My sense is, do you want to hear them just talk about the issue or satisfy you on that issue?
Both may be somewhat difficult to do if you have not noticed. To merely speak on a specific concern, that issue has to be tested, sampled and polled among likely voters. Once polled, and it goes without saying that it has to poll well for that candidate, a set of reasonable responses must be developed so the candidate can answer a question without doing himself harm.
Furthermore, the responses are sampled and tested. The pollsters as well as the campaign are not looking to find the best answer to remove the question from future line-ups, they are typically attempting to avert the candidate from being locked into a scenario that is difficult to retract later.
All politics is situational so there are very few answers that will immediately address the concerns of those who are undecided. In order to win over the undecided, you stand to risk the support you have already obtained from the political base currently in place.
In order to satisfy any particular voter fully, the candidate or his or her surrogates would be forced to expound at such great length, that you jeopardize losing others present with unimportant details. There is an art to being bland in your responses. A candidate must be able recount his exact verbiage used, so the less detail offered, the easier it is for the campaign to respond.
In today’s Politico, GOP presumptive nominee, Mitt Romney was somewhat given credit to the disdain of the traveling press pool, that he rarely veers off message. That’s an art form. Controlling the message by eliminating any other unscripted responses prevents the candidate from going off message, thereby preventing gaffes.
The press are to the political candidate as the paparazzi is to a Hollywood celeb. Their goal is to create the story where they may be none and on a slow news days, you have to know the campaigns are extra careful to not be the one driving the negative news of the day.
So, sorry Mr. Undecided Voter! It’s time to make up your mind and pass the crown, your fifteen minutes are up. Where, during the 2004 and 20008 elections they drove the campaigns and the ad buys in certain battle ground states, this cycle has been less of a push for the undecided and more about shoring up the base and mobilizing them. 2012 will be less about those who are “registered to vote” and more about those who are energized and “likely” to vote.
A Gallup poll was just released this week indicating what should be great news for the Romney campaign, but, as it seems, both political parties got a swift dose of reality. Gallup found that 20%of Americans blame Mr. Obama for their current lot in life, while 7% blame former president George Bush. Additionally, 15% blame both presidents while only 14% blame neither.
What this should do is serve as a boon to the Romney campaign. They should be able to hit Obama on all cylinders with this data relentlessly. Right? Well, my mother always said, ” the way things are and the way they should be are never the same”. Here in lies the problem, that same poll asked, “who do you think is most likely to fix the current economic situation” and voters overwhelmingly picked President Obama.
So although 52% of Americans were not completely satisfied with what Obama has done on the economy, 46% believed he had done all that he could do. Yet, they still believe President Obama is their best option.
If you are Mitt Romney, what does that say? Most blame the guy who didn’t break it, but they still want him anyway? *waving the white flag*